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Published on: August 2, 2024
Influences of age and obesity on heart transplant outcomes
Zach Rollins1, Ye In Christopher Kwon1, Graham Gardner1
1Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Pauley Heart Center, Virginia Commonwealth University School of Medicine, Richmond, Va.
Insights
Heart transplant recipients with obesity (high-risk BMI) or older age (high-risk age) face worse survival. Patients with both risk factors had the poorest outcomes, yet 5-year survival remains significant.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Transplantation Medicine
- Geriatric Medicine
Background:
- Obesity and advanced age are recognized risk factors impacting long-term prognosis in heart transplant recipients.
- Understanding outcomes in high-risk patient groups is crucial for optimizing post-transplant care.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the 5-year survival rates of heart transplant patients with high-risk body mass index (BMI >30), high-risk age (>70 years), or both, compared to normal-risk recipients.
- To analyze the impact of combined obesity and older age on heart transplant outcomes in the modern era.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of adult heart transplant data in the US from 2014-2023.
- Kaplan-Meier survival curves and log-rank tests to compare survival between normal-risk and high-risk groups (high-risk BMI, high-risk age, or both).
- Risk-adjusted Cox regression to identify factors influencing overall survival.
Main Results:
- A total of 15,839 normal-risk, 869 high-risk age, 8,187 high-risk BMI, and 202 high-risk both groups were analyzed.
- Significant differences in overall survival were observed across groups (P < .001), with worse survival in high-risk categories.
- Hazard ratios for mortality were 1.21 (high-risk BMI), 1.23 (high-risk age), and 1.72 (high-risk both). 5-year survival for high-risk both was 66.8%.
Conclusions:
- Heart transplant recipients with high-risk BMI, high-risk age, or both demonstrate reduced overall survival compared to normal-risk patients.
- Isolated high-risk BMI or high-risk age had similar survival impacts, while combined factors led to the worst outcomes.
- Despite increased risks, 5-year survival rates, even in the combined high-risk group, underscore the continued benefit of heart transplantation.
Objective:
Obesity and older age have both been identified as risk factors for a worse long-term prognosis after heart transplantation. We sought to determine the 5-year outcomes for heart transplant patients with high-risk body mass index (BMI) >30 (HRB), high-risk age >70 years (HRA), or both (HRAB) as compared with recipients with normal risk (NR) in the modern era.
Methods:
Records of isolated heart transplants in the United States from 2014 to 2023 were obtained for adults older than 18 years. BMI and age cut-off was identified on spline analysis. Survival curves were built for overall survival using a Kaplan-Meier method, with a log-rank test used to test for differences between groups. Risk adjusted Cox regression was performed on variables potentially influencing overall survival.
Results:
Between 2014 and 2023, there were 15,839 NR; 869 HRA; 8187 HRB; and 202 HRAB patients. There was a significant difference in overall survival by Kaplan-Meier evaluation between the 4 groups, with worse survival in the high-risk groups (P < .001). The hazard ratio for mortality in the HRB, HRA, and HRAB groups was 1.21, 1.23, and 1.72, respectively (P < .05). However, even recipients in the HRAB group had 5-year survival rates of 66.8%.
Conclusions:
Overall survival is worse in recipients in the HRA, HRB, or HRAB groups than in recipients in the NR group but similar between patients with isolated BMI >30 or age >70 years. Patients with both increased BMI >30 and age >70 years had the worst overall survival. However, the 5-year survival even for HRAB suggests the value of transplantation even if patients are at high risk.
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