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This study introduces a communication-efficient algorithm for estimating average treatment effect (ATE) with distributed data and many covariates. The method ensures accurate estimation even with model misspecification, achieving fast convergence and efficiency.

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Area of Science:

  • Statistics
  • Econometrics
  • Machine Learning

Background:

  • Estimating average treatment effect (ATE) is crucial in causal inference.
  • Distributed data settings and high-dimensional covariates pose significant challenges.
  • Existing methods often struggle with communication efficiency and model misspecification.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a communication-efficient algorithm for ATE estimation in distributed settings.
  • To address challenges posed by a large number of covariates relative to site-specific sample sizes.
  • To ensure robust estimation under potential model misspecification.

Main Methods:

  • Proposed a distributed covariate balancing propensity score (disthdCBPS) estimator.
  • Utilized surrogate loss functions for calibrating propensity score and outcome models.
  • Leveraged approximate covariate balancing for distributed data.

Main Results:

  • The disthdCBPS estimator approximates the global estimator (pooled data) at a fast rate.
  • The estimator remains consistent and asymptotically normal under model misspecification.
  • Achieved semi-parametric efficiency bounds when models are correctly specified.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed method offers a communication-efficient and robust approach to ATE estimation.
  • Demonstrated strong empirical performance in simulations and real-world data.
  • Provides a valuable tool for causal inference in decentralized data environments.