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"Could She/He Walk Out of the Hospital?": Implementing AI Models for Recovery Prediction and Doctor-Patient
Li-Chin Cheng1,2, Chung-Feng Liu3, Chin-Choon Yeh2,4,5,6
1Division of Colorectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan 710402, Taiwan.
Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland)
|July 12, 2025
Summary
Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) models can predict adverse events in major trauma patients. XGBoost demonstrated superior performance, enhancing clinical efficiency and patient care.
Area of Science:
- Trauma Care
- Medical Informatics
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
Background:
- Major trauma is a leading cause of mortality and disability globally, necessitating improved predictive tools.
- The unpredictable nature of trauma requires advanced methods for forecasting patient outcomes.
- Existing models for trauma patient management are continually being enhanced.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate an AI/ML model for predicting adverse events in major trauma patients.
- To integrate a predictive tool into the hospital information system for clinical use.
- To assess the performance of AI/ML models against traditional clinical scoring systems.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 5521 major trauma patients admitted between 2010 and 2019.
- Evaluation of five AI models, including XGBoost, for predictive accuracy.
- Deployment of the best-performing model as a web-based application integrated with the HIS.
Main Results:
- XGBoost achieved the highest performance (AUC 0.748), surpassing Injury Severity Score (ISS) and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS).
- The integrated model demonstrated improved efficiency and interpretability via SHAP analysis.
- Healthcare professionals provided positive feedback on the tool's usability and clinical value.
Conclusions:
- An AI-powered predictive model for major trauma patients has been successfully developed and integrated into clinical workflow.
- The model enhances efficiency and quality of care in trauma management.
- Future work will expand predictive capabilities to include complications and treatment outcomes for broader clinical application.

