Left-Digit Bias in Serum Creatinine Levels and Contrast Administration: A Nationwide Cohort Study Using a Japanese

Takahiro Suzuki1,2, Yuichiro Mori3, John A Spertus4,5

  • 1Department of Cardiovascular Medicine St. Luke's International Hospital Tokyo Japan.

Insights

Physicians may be influenced by left-digit bias when administering contrast during percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), potentially impacting acute kidney injury (AKI) prevention. This cognitive bias in interpreting serum creatinine levels affects contrast volume decisions.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Nephrology
  • Medical Decision Making

Background:

  • Minimizing contrast volume is crucial for preventing acute kidney injury (AKI) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
  • Left-digit bias, a cognitive tendency to overemphasize the leftmost digit of a number, may influence clinical decisions.
  • Interpreting serum creatinine levels, a key factor in AKI risk assessment, could be subject to this bias, affecting contrast administration during PCI.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the impact of left-digit bias in serum creatinine interpretation on contrast volume administration in patients undergoing PCI.
  • To determine if cognitive biases, specifically left-digit bias, influence contrast volume decisions independent of established AKI risk scores.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of a Japanese nationwide prospective multicenter registry of patients undergoing PCI from January 2018 to December 2022.
  • Assessment of left-digit bias by comparing PCI contrast volumes at specific serum creatinine thresholds (e.g., 1.0 mg/dL, 2.0 mg/dL).
  • Calculation of AKI risks using a validated risk scoring system to compare with observed contrast volume decisions.

Main Results:

  • A total of 735,696 PCI procedures were analyzed, with a median contrast volume of 117 mL.
  • A significant decrease in average contrast volume was observed when baseline creatinine levels crossed integer thresholds (1.0 mg/dL and 2.0 mg/dL), indicating left-digit bias.
  • Contrast volume adjustments were less sensitive to calculated AKI risk scores than to creatinine values at integer thresholds, suggesting a prioritization of perceived creatinine levels over formal risk stratification.

Conclusions:

  • Left-digit bias in serum creatinine interpretation demonstrably affects contrast volume administration during PCI.
  • Current practices may lead to suboptimal contrast use for AKI prevention, as decisions appear driven by cognitive bias rather than comprehensive risk assessment.
  • Implementing formal risk stratification protocols is essential to optimize contrast volume and mitigate AKI risk in PCI patients.
Abstract

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