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Published on: August 12, 2020
Severe infection incidence among young infants in Dhaka, Bangladesh: an observational cohort study
Alastair Fung1,2,3,4, Cole Heasley2, Lisa G Pell2,4
1Department of Paediatrics, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Insights
Infant severe infection rates vary by definition, impacting clinical trials. A standardized, adaptable case definition is crucial for accurate research in low-resource settings.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Infectious Diseases
- Global Health
Background:
- Inconsistent definitions of severe infection, sepsis, and serious bacterial infection (SBI) hinder comparability of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for infant infection prevention.
- This heterogeneity is particularly problematic for designing effective RCTs in low-resource settings.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the incidence of severe infection and death in Bangladeshi infants (0-60 days) using various case definitions.
- To inform the development of standardized, operationalizable definitions for infant severe infection in low-resource RCTs.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 1939 infants in Dhaka, Bangladesh, was monitored via home visits and caregiver referral from birth to 60 days.
- Severe infection was defined using a primary composite endpoint, alongside WHO criteria for possible SBI, blood culture confirmation, and non-injury death.
- Incidence rates were calculated per 1000 infant-days for each definition.
Main Results:
- Severe infection incidence varied significantly: 1.2/1000 infant-days (primary definition) vs. 0.84/1000 (WHO possible SBI) vs. 0.026/1000 (blood culture-confirmed).
- Physician diagnosis of sepsis/SBI accounted for one-third of primary definition cases, highlighting limitations of solely clinical sign-based criteria.
- Caregiver self-referral identified 85% of cases, suggesting scheduled home visits may be less critical if access to care is high.
Conclusions:
- Case definitions profoundly impact estimated severe infection incidence in infants, affecting RCT outcomes.
- A consensus definition balancing sensitivity and specificity, adaptable to low-resource contexts, is needed to improve RCT comparability.
- Relying on caregiver-seeking behavior may be sufficient for surveillance if healthcare access is robust, potentially reducing the need for frequent home visits.
Introduction:
Heterogeneity in definitions of severe infection, sepsis and serious bacterial infection (SBI) in infants limits the comparability of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of infection prevention interventions. To inform the design of infection prevention RCTs for infants in low-resource settings, we estimated the incidence of severe infection and death among Bangladeshi infants aged 0-60 days using variations in case definitions.
Methods:
Among 1939 infants born generally healthy in Dhaka, Bangladesh, severe infection was identified through up to 12 scheduled community health worker home visits from 0 to 60 days of age or through caregiver self-referral. The primary severe infection case definition combined physician documentation of standardised clinical signs and/or diagnosis of sepsis/SBI, plus either a positive blood culture or parenteral antibiotic treatment for ≥5 days. Incidence rates were estimated for the primary severe infection definition, the WHO definition of possible SBI, blood culture-confirmed infection and five alternative definitions including non-injury death.
Results:
Severe infection incidence per 1000 infant-days was 1.2 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.4) using the primary definition, 0.84 (0.69 to 1.0) using the WHO definition of possible SBI, 0.026 (0.0085 to 0.081) using blood culture-confirmed infection and 0.061 (0.029 to 0.13) for death. One-third of cases met criteria for the primary severe infection definition through physician diagnosis of sepsis/SBI rather than the standardised clinical signs, and 85% of cases were identified following caregiver self-referral despite frequent scheduled visits.
Conclusions:
Severe infection incidence in infants varied considerably by case definition. Using a clinical sign-based definition may miss a substantial proportion of cases identified by physician diagnosis of sepsis/SBI. A consensus definition of severe infection in infants that balances permissiveness and stringency and can be operationalised in low-resource countries would improve the comparability of RCTs. If health facilities are accessible and caregivers readily seek care for infant illness, frequently scheduled home assessments may not be necessary.
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