Severe infection incidence among young infants in Dhaka, Bangladesh: an observational cohort study

Alastair Fung1,2,3,4, Cole Heasley2, Lisa G Pell2,4

  • 1Department of Paediatrics, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

BMJ Public Health
|July 15, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Infant severe infection rates vary by definition, impacting clinical trials. A standardized, adaptable case definition is crucial for accurate research in low-resource settings.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatrics
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Global Health

Background:

  • Inconsistent definitions of severe infection, sepsis, and serious bacterial infection (SBI) hinder comparability of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for infant infection prevention.
  • This heterogeneity is particularly problematic for designing effective RCTs in low-resource settings.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the incidence of severe infection and death in Bangladeshi infants (0-60 days) using various case definitions.
  • To inform the development of standardized, operationalizable definitions for infant severe infection in low-resource RCTs.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 1939 infants in Dhaka, Bangladesh, was monitored via home visits and caregiver referral from birth to 60 days.
  • Severe infection was defined using a primary composite endpoint, alongside WHO criteria for possible SBI, blood culture confirmation, and non-injury death.
  • Incidence rates were calculated per 1000 infant-days for each definition.

Main Results:

  • Severe infection incidence varied significantly: 1.2/1000 infant-days (primary definition) vs. 0.84/1000 (WHO possible SBI) vs. 0.026/1000 (blood culture-confirmed).
  • Physician diagnosis of sepsis/SBI accounted for one-third of primary definition cases, highlighting limitations of solely clinical sign-based criteria.
  • Caregiver self-referral identified 85% of cases, suggesting scheduled home visits may be less critical if access to care is high.

Conclusions:

  • Case definitions profoundly impact estimated severe infection incidence in infants, affecting RCT outcomes.
  • A consensus definition balancing sensitivity and specificity, adaptable to low-resource contexts, is needed to improve RCT comparability.
  • Relying on caregiver-seeking behavior may be sufficient for surveillance if healthcare access is robust, potentially reducing the need for frequent home visits.
Abstract

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