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Crop Statistic to Annual Map: Tracking spatiotemporal dynamics of crop-specific areas through machine learning and
Xiyu Li1, Le Yu2,3,4, Zhenrong Du5
1Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Abstract:
Mapping spatiotemporal dynamics of crop-specific areas is of great significance in addressing challenges faced by agricultural systems. But comparable multi-phase crop maps in year series have not yet been developed in most regions of the global. In this study, we developed a framework for updating annual crop-specific area maps at 10 km resolution based on crop statistics disaggregating, multi-source data integrating and machine learning. In our framework, we collected related spatial indicator used in previous studies and trained random forest regression models to predict spatiotemporal dynamics of crop-specific areas based on them. Annual crop statistics were further disaggregated based on probabilistic layer and harmonized based on multiple constraints. Finally, our results include maps of crop-specific areas covering 42 types from 1961-2022 in Africa, maps of crop-specific areas covering 14 types from 1980-2022 in China. Results show that our products have a reasonable level of consistency with independent reference map or statistics. Our products could be used as data basis for food security and environmental impact assessments.
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