Prediction of 90-day mortality among cancer patients with unplanned hospitalisation: a retrospective validation study of three prognostic scores

  • 0Medical Oncology Department, Etlik City Hospital, Ankara, Turkey.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

The PROMISE score effectively predicts 90-day mortality in hospitalised cancer patients. Combining it with the CTI score (C-reactive protein-Triglyceride-Glucose Index) further enhances risk stratification for better oncologic care.

Area Of Science

  • Oncology
  • Clinical Epidemiology
  • Biostatistics

Background

  • Accurate prediction of 90-day mortality is crucial for personalized cancer care.
  • Existing prognostic models often lack precision in risk stratification.
  • This study evaluates the PROMISE, GRIm, and CTI scores for unplanned hospitalizations.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To independently evaluate the prognostic performance of three scoring systems: PROMISE, GRIm, and CTI.
  • To assess the combined PROMISE-CTI score for predicting 90-day mortality in hospitalized cancer patients.
  • To determine the utility of these scores in optimizing oncologic care.

Main Methods

  • Retrospective observational study of 1109 cancer patients admitted for unplanned hospitalizations.
  • Calculation of PROMISE, GRIm, and CTI scores using established methodologies.
  • Statistical analysis including logistic regression and ROC curve analysis to evaluate predictive performance.

Main Results

  • High PROMISE and CTI scores were significantly associated with increased 90-day mortality.
  • The PROMISE-CTI Combined score demonstrated excellent discriminatory performance (AUC = 0.884).
  • The PROMISE-CTI Combined score achieved high accuracy (86.7%), sensitivity (92.4%), and specificity (81.1%).

Conclusions

  • The PROMISE score shows strong predictive ability for 90-day mortality in hospitalized cancer patients.
  • Integrating the CTI score into the PROMISE score improves risk stratification.
  • The PROMISE-CTI Combined score is a potentially valuable tool for short-term prognostic assessment.

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