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Controlling the False Split Rate in Tree-Based Aggregation
Simeng Shao1, Jacob Bien2, Adel Javanmard2
1Amazon, Seattle.
Journal of the American Statistical Association
|July 18, 2025
Summary
This study introduces a new error measure, the false split rate, to identify appropriate subgroups in hierarchical data. An algorithm is presented to control this rate in tree-based aggregation, improving data analysis across various scientific domains.
Area of Science:
- Data Science
- Statistical Modeling
- Computational Biology
Background:
- Hierarchical data structures are common across scientific domains, from business sectors to microbial taxonomy.
- Existing methods for analyzing such data often struggle with determining appropriate levels of aggregation.
- The need exists for robust methods to identify meaningful subgroups within tree-defined data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce and define a novel error measure, the false split rate, for tree-based data aggregation.
- To develop and validate a multiple hypothesis testing algorithm for controlling this error rate.
- To demonstrate the algorithm's efficacy in scenarios involving aggregation of means and regression coefficients.
Main Methods:
- Definition of the false split rate as a measure of inappropriately split subgroups in hierarchical data.
- Development of a multiple hypothesis testing algorithm tailored for tree structures.
- Theoretical proof of the algorithm's ability to control the false split rate.
- Application to aggregation of means and regression coefficients in tree-based datasets.
Main Results:
- The false split rate is shown to be distinct from the false discovery rate in general tree structures.
- The proposed algorithm effectively controls the false split rate.
- The method is applicable to diverse tree-based aggregation problems, including means and regression coefficients.
Conclusions:
- The false split rate provides a more appropriate error measure for tree-based aggregation than traditional methods.
- The developed algorithm offers a statistically sound approach to subgroup identification in hierarchical data.
- This work enhances the analysis of complex, structured datasets in various scientific fields.
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