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A data-to-forecast machine learning system for global weather.

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FuXi Weather, a new machine learning system, provides reliable 10-day weather forecasts using less data. This advanced system improves forecasting in data-scarce regions, outperforming traditional methods.

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Area of Science:

  • Meteorology
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Data Science

Background:

  • Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) faces computational and resolution limitations.
  • Machine learning (ML) offers an alternative but often relies on NWP outputs.
  • Vast observational datasets remain underutilized in current forecasting systems.

Purpose of the Study:

  • Introduce FuXi Weather, an ML-based global forecasting system.
  • Demonstrate its capability for cycling data assimilation (DA) and forecasting.
  • Highlight its performance in observation-sparse regions.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a machine learning-based global forecasting system (FuXi Weather).
  • Integrated multi-satellite data assimilation (DA) with cycling capabilities.
  • Utilized background forecasts to constrain analysis during DA.

Main Results:

  • FuXi Weather generates reliable 10-day forecasts at 0.25° resolution.
  • The system requires fewer observations compared to conventional NWP.
  • Outperformed ECMWF forecasts beyond day one in observation-sparse regions like central Africa.

Conclusions:

  • ML-based systems like FuXi Weather can enhance global weather forecasting accuracy.
  • Demonstrated the effectiveness of ML in assimilating multi-satellite data.
  • Shows significant potential for improving weather predictions in data-limited areas.