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Alternative to the statistical mass confusion of testing for "no effect"
1Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Neuroscience, Biology and Biomedical Science, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
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In cell biology, statistical analysis means testing the hypothesis that there was no effect. This weak form of hypothesis testing neglects effect size, is universally misinterpreted, and is disastrously prone to error when combined with high-throughput cell biology. The solution is for analysis of measurements to start and end with an interpretation of effect size. In this manuscript, I walk through some of the common critiques of significance testing and how they relate to experimental cell biology. I argue that careful consideration of effect size should be returned to its central position in the planning and discussion of cell biological research. To facilitate this shift in focus, I recommend replacing P values with confidence intervals as cell biology's default statistical analysis.
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