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Equity-enhanced glaucoma progression prediction from OCT with knowledge distillation
Sulaiman O Afolabi1, Leila Gheisi1, Jing Shan2
1Medical AI Lab, School of Computing and Informatics, University of Louisiana at Lafayette, Lafayette, LA, USA.
Abstract:
Glaucoma is a progressive disease that can lead to permanent vision loss, making progression prediction vital for guiding effective treatment. Deep learning aids progression prediction but may yield unequal outcomes across demographic groups. We proposed a model called FairDist, which utilized baseline optical coherence tomography scans to predict glaucoma progression. An equity-aware EfficientNet was trained for glaucoma detection, which was then adapted for progression prediction with knowledge distillation. Model accuracy was measured by the AUC, Sensitivity, Specificity, and equity was assessed using equity-scaled AUC, which adjusts AUC by accounting for subgroup disparities. The mean deviation, fast progression, and total deviation pointwise progression were explored in this work. For both progression types, FairDist achieved the highest AUC and equity-scaled AUC for gender and racial groups, compared to methods with and without unfairness mitigation strategies. FairDist can be generalized to other disease progression prediction tasks to potentially achieve improved performance and fairness.
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However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.

