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The Health Impact of Using Anti-PD-1 Agents to Treat Early-Stage Cancer in Belgium
André Bento-Abreu1, Saar Vandekeere2, Demet Sönmez3
1MSD, Boulevard du Souverain 25, 1170, Brussels, Belgium. andre.bento.abreu@msd.com.
Introduction:
Anti-PD-1 agents, inhibitors of programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1), significantly improve clinical outcomes and overall survival for individuals with several metastatic and early-stage cancers. This study evaluates the health impact of using anti-PD-1 agents for early-stage disease (ESD) treatment of melanoma (stage IIB-C and III), renal cell carcinoma (RCC), and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in Belgium (2023-2032).
Methods:
Belgian individuals eligible for ESD treatment (target population) entered a Markov-based health outcomes model in a recurrence/event/disease-free state. The model compared anti-PD-1 agents only for metastatic disease treatment (reference scenario) versus anti-PD-1 agents for ESD treatment (ESD scenario) from 2023 to 2032. Clinical outcomes of the model included recurrence/event/disease-free life-years (LYs), total LYs, quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), recurrences/events, active treatments for metastatic disease, and total deaths. The cumulative health impact of ESD anti-PD-1 treatment in Belgium was calculated as the difference in health outcomes between the ESD and reference scenarios for the time horizon.
Results:
Of the 14,306 eligible individuals, 11,065 were predicted to initiate treatment with anti-PD-1 agents for ESD. Anti-PD-1 therapies for ESD increased recurrence/event/disease-free LYs (+13.4%), total LYs (+4.4%), and QALYs (+4.9%) after 10 years. Additionally, ESD treatment decreased recurrences/events (-24.6%), active treatments for metastatic disease (-28.6%), and total deaths (-23.8% decrease) over 10 years.
Conclusions:
The investment in and use of innovative anti-PD-1 agents for the treatment of early-stage cancers would have a positive health impact for Belgium and align with the high standards in cancer care called for in Europe's Beating Cancer Plan.
Insights
Early-stage cancer treatment with anti-PD-1 agents significantly improves patient outcomes. This approach increases life-years and quality-adjusted life-years while reducing cancer recurrence and deaths in Belgium.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Immunotherapy
- Health Economics
Background:
- Anti-PD-1 agents (inhibitors of programmed cell death protein 1) have demonstrated efficacy in improving survival for various cancers.
- This study focuses on the health impact of anti-PD-1 agents for early-stage disease (ESD) in melanoma, renal cell carcinoma (RCC), and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC).
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the health impact of using anti-PD-1 agents for early-stage cancer treatment in Belgium.
- To compare the outcomes of anti-PD-1 treatment for ESD versus treatment only for metastatic disease.
Main Methods:
- A Markov-based health outcomes model was utilized, comparing two scenarios: anti-PD-1 for metastatic disease only (reference) and anti-PD-1 for ESD (ESD scenario).
- The model assessed clinical outcomes including life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), recurrences/events, metastatic disease treatments, and total deaths over a 10-year horizon.
- The target population included Belgian individuals eligible for ESD treatment.
Main Results:
- Anti-PD-1 therapies for ESD are predicted to increase recurrence/event/disease-free LYs by 13.4%, total LYs by 4.4%, and QALYs by 4.9% over 10 years.
- ESD treatment with anti-PD-1 agents led to a 24.6% decrease in recurrences/events and a 28.6% decrease in active treatments for metastatic disease.
- Total deaths were reduced by 23.8% over the 10-year study period in the ESD scenario.
Conclusions:
- Investing in and utilizing anti-PD-1 agents for early-stage cancers in Belgium is projected to have a substantial positive health impact.
- This aligns with European goals for high standards in cancer care, as outlined in Europe's Beating Cancer Plan.
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