Nomogram for predicting suicide risk in pancreatic cancer patients: a retrospective study based on SEER database

  • 0Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, China.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Suicide rates are higher in pancreatic cancer patients. This study identified key risk factors and developed a nomogram to predict suicide risk, aiding clinical support and personalized care for these patients.

Area Of Science

  • Oncology
  • Psychiatry
  • Biostatistics

Background

  • Pancreatic cancer patients exhibit a higher incidence of suicide compared to the general population and other cancer types.
  • Identifying specific risk factors for suicide post-diagnosis is crucial for targeted interventions.
  • Developing predictive models can aid in reducing suicide rates within this vulnerable patient group.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To identify independent risk factors for suicide after a pancreatic cancer diagnosis.
  • To develop and validate a predictive model (nomogram) for suicide risk.
  • To enhance clinical practice through precise, personalized risk quantification.

Main Methods

  • Utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2000-2020) for patient data.
  • Employed LASSO and Cox regression to identify predictive factors for suicide.
  • Developed and validated a nomogram using C-index, ROC curves, calibration plots, and DCA.

Main Results

  • Included 129,301 pancreatic cancer patients in the analysis.
  • Identified age at diagnosis, sex, marital status, surgery, and chemotherapy as independent predictors of suicide.
  • The nomogram demonstrated acceptable predictive performance and clinical utility in both training and validation sets.

Conclusions

  • The developed nomogram serves as a reliable tool for predicting suicide risk in pancreatic cancer patients.
  • This tool supports personalized and precise risk assessment in clinical settings.
  • The findings can contribute to proactive mental health support for pancreatic cancer patients.