CT-Based Radiomics for a priori Predicting Response to Chemoradiation in Locally Advanced Lung Adenocarcinoma

The standard treatment for patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is concurrent chemoradiation. However, clinical responses are heterogeneous and generally not known until after the completion of therapy. Multiple studies have investigated imaging predictors (radiomics) for different cancer histologies, but little exists for NSCLC. The objective of this study was to develop a multivariate CT-based radiomics model to a priori predict responses to definitive chemoradiation in patients with lung adenocarcinoma.

Patients diagnosed with locally advanced unresectable lung adenocarcinoma who had undergone chemoradiotherapy followed by at least one dose of maintenance durvalumab were included. The PyRadiomics Python library was used to determine statistical, morphological, and textural features from normalized patient pre-treatment CT images and their wavelet-filtered versions. A nested leave-one-out cross-validation was used for model building and evaluation.

Fifty-seven patients formed the study cohort. The clinical stage was IIIA-C in 98% of patients. All but one received 6000-6600 cGy of radiation in 30-33 fractions. All received concurrent platinum-based chemotherapy. Based on RECIST 1.1, 20 (35%) patients were classified as responders (R) to chemoradiation and 37 (65%) patients as non-responders (NR). A three-feature model based on a KNN k = 1 machine learning classifier was found to have the best performance, achieving a recall, specificity, accuracy, balanced accuracy, precision, negative predictive value, F1-score, and area under the curve of 84%, 70%, 80%, 77%, 84%, 70%, 84%, and 0.77, respectively.

Our results suggest that a CT-based radiomics model may be able to predict chemoradiation response for lung adenocarcinoma patients with estimated accuracies of 77-84%.