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Atrial Fibrillation Risk Scores as Potential Predictors of Significant Coronary Artery Disease in Chronic Coronary
Alexandru-Florinel Oancea1,2, Paula Cristina Morariu1,2, Maria Godun1,2
1Faculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Grigore T. Popa, 700115 Iasi, Romania.
Insights
Atrial fibrillation risk scores like HAS-BLED and C2HEST can help identify patients with significant coronary artery disease (CAD). These scores may assist in prioritizing individuals for further cardiac evaluation.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Diagnostics
- Risk Stratification
Background:
- Chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are common cardiovascular diseases.
- Existing AF risk scores (e.g., CHA2DS2VA, HAS-BLED, C2HEST) are used for rhythm and bleeding risk but their utility in assessing coronary artery disease (CAD) severity is less understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between established AF clinical risk scores and the angiographic severity of CAD.
- To evaluate the potential of these scores as tools for early CAD risk stratification in patients with suspected CCS.
Main Methods:
- A prospective, single-center study included 131 patients undergoing coronary angiography for suspected stable CAD.
- AF-related risk scores were calculated upon admission.
- CAD severity was assessed using SYNTAX and Gensini scores.
- Statistical analyses, including correlation and multivariate regression, were performed.
Main Results:
- Patients with significant coronary stenosis (S-CCS) exhibited higher CHA2DS2VA, HAS-BLED, CHA2DS2VA-HSF, and C2HEST scores compared to those with non-significant stenosis.
- HAS-BLED and C2HEST emerged as independent predictors of significant coronary lesions.
- Thresholds for HAS-BLED (≥1.5) and C2HEST (≥3.5) showed moderate discriminative ability for significant CAD.
Conclusions:
- AF-related clinical scores, particularly HAS-BLED and C2HEST, show potential as accessible tools for early CAD risk stratification in suspected CCS patients.
- These scores can serve as supplementary triage tools to guide further diagnostic workups but do not replace standard testing.
Abstract:
Chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are prevalent cardiovascular conditions that share numerous risk factors and pathophysiological mechanisms. While clinical scores commonly used in AF-such as CHA2DS2VA (which includes congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75, diabetes, stroke/TIA, vascular disease, and age 65-74), HAS-BLED (which incorporates hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history, labile INR, elderly age, and drug/alcohol use), and C2HEST (incorporating coronary artery disease, COPD, hypertension, elderly age ≥ 75, systolic heart failure, and thyroid disease)-are traditionally applied to rhythm or bleeding risk prediction, their value in estimating the angiographic severity of coronary artery disease (CAD) remains underexplored. We conducted a prospective, single-center study including 131 patients with suspected stable CAD referred for coronary angiography, stratified according to coronary angiographic findings into two groups: significant coronary stenosis (S-CCS) and non-significant coronary stenosis (N-CCS). At admission, AF-related scores (CHA2DS2, CHA2DS2VA, CHA2DS2VA-HSF, CHA2DS2VA-RAF, CHA2DS2VA-LAF, HAS-BLED, C2HEST, and HATCH) were calculated. CAD severity was subsequently assessed using the SYNTAX and Gensini scores. Statistical comparisons and Pearson correlation analyses were performed to evaluate the association between clinical risk scores and angiographic findings. Patients in the S-CCS group had significantly higher scores in CHA2DS2VA (4.09 ± 1.656 vs. 3.20 ± 1.338, p = 0.002), HAS-BLED (1.98 ± 0.760 vs. 1.36 ± 0.835, p < 0.001), CHA2DS2VA-HSF (6.00 ± 1.854 vs. 5.26 ± 1.712, p = 0.021), and C2HEST (3.49 ± 1.501 vs. 2.55 ± 1.279, p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression identified HAS-BLED and C2HEST as independent predictors of significant coronary lesions. A threshold value of HAS-BLED ≥ 1.5 and C2HEST ≥ 3.5 demonstrated moderate discriminative ability (AUC = 0.694 and 0.682, respectively), with acceptable sensitivity and specificity. These scores also demonstrated moderate to strong correlations with both Gensini and SYNTAX scores. AF-related clinical scores, especially HAS-BLED and C2HEST, may serve as practical and accessible tools for early CAD risk stratification in patients with suspected CCS. Their application in clinical practice may serve as supplementary triage tools to help prioritize patients for further diagnostic evaluation, but they are not intended to replace standard imaging or testing.
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