SUDEP risk is influenced by longevity genomics: a polygenic risk score study
Helena Martins1, James D Mills2, Susanna Pagni1
1University College London Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, WC1N 3BG, UK; Chalfont Centre for Epilepsy, Chalfont St Peter, SL9 0RJ, UK.
Common genetic variations influence Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy (SUDEP) risk. Incorporating polygenic risk scores for longevity and intelligence enhances SUDEP prediction accuracy.
Area of Science:
- Genetics
- Epilepsy Research
- Medical Risk Prediction
Background:
- Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy (SUDEP) is a significant concern for epilepsy patients, yet its mechanisms remain poorly understood.
- Clinical factors for SUDEP risk are known, but predicting it, especially early in the disease, is challenging.
- This study investigated the hypothesis that common genetic variations contribute to SUDEP risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if common genetic variations contribute to the risk of Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy (SUDEP).
- To explore the role of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) in SUDEP.
- To evaluate the potential of integrating genomic information into existing SUDEP risk prediction tools.
Main Methods:
- Compared genetic data from SUDEP cases, epilepsy cases without SUDEP, and healthy controls.
- Calculated and compared polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for longevity, intelligence, and epilepsy across cohorts.
- Analyzed single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for enriched pathways and gene ontology terms, and assessed the added value of PRSs to the SUDEP-3 risk prediction tool.
Main Results:
- Reduced PRS for longevity and intelligence were observed in SUDEP cases compared to both epilepsy and healthy controls.
- No significant difference in PRS for epilepsy was found between SUDEP and epilepsy cases.
- SNP analysis identified pathways related to inter-neuronal communication as enriched in SUDEP.
- Adding PRSs for longevity and intelligence to the SUDEP-3 score significantly improved risk prediction accuracy (AUC from 0.699 to 0.913).
Conclusions:
- Common genetic variation plays a role in SUDEP risk.
- Polygenic risk scores, particularly for longevity and intelligence, can enhance SUDEP risk prediction.
- These findings open new avenues for understanding SUDEP mechanisms and improving patient risk stratification.
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