Evaluation of Anti-HPV18 Antibody Titers Preceding an Incident Cervical HPV18/45 Infection

Background: The Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine generates high antibody titers against targeted HPV types. This study investigated vaccine-induced anti-HPV18 immunoglobulin (IgG) antibody titers and subsequent HPV18/45 infections. Methods: We performed a nested matched case-control study leveraging a prospective longitudinal cohort of adolescent and young adult women (AYW) vaccinated with the quadrivalent HPV vaccine (4vHPV) attending the Mount Sinai Adolescent Health Center (MSAHC) in Manhattan, NY. The case individuals included AYW who had an incident detection of cervical HPV18 (n = 3) or HPV45 (n = 34) DNA after vaccination and were compared to two vaccinated control individuals (HPV18/45-negative); one random control (RC, n = 37) and one high-risk control (HRC, n = 37) selected from the upper quartile of a sexual risk behavior score. Serological titers against HPV18 were measured by end-point dilution and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in serum collected before the incident detection of HPV. Matching was performed based on age at first dose, follow-up time, and sexual risk behavior score. Conditional logistic regression was used to assess the association between case-control status and anti-HPV antibody titers, consistent with the matched-pair design. Results: Antibody titers for HPV18 were most different between AYW who developed an HPV18/45 infection compared to high-risk controls OR = 1.66, 95% CI: 0.96-2.85 (p = 0.1629). Analyses of pooled data from vaccinated recipients including who developed HPV16/31 or HPV18/45 infections demonstrated that the odds of a one-log unit increase in anti-HPV16 or 18 antibody titers, respectively, were 40% higher in the combined control groups (RC + HRC, n = 160) (OR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.09-1.79, p = 0.0135) and 73% higher in the HRC (n = 80) (OR 1.73, 95% CI: 1.34, 2.52, p = 0.0117) compared to HPV16/18/31/45 cases (n = 80). Conclusions: Overall, these findings suggest that higher IgG antibodies to HPV16/18 after vaccination represent an increased likelihood of protection from homologous and cross-reactive HPV types (HPV16/18/31/45). These results show that differences in antibody titers are associated with breakthrough infection after vaccination, suggesting that further study of long-term antibody titers and infection should be pursued.