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Control Group Outcomes in Trials of Psilocybin, SSRIs, or Esketamine for Depression: A Meta-Analysis
Fredrik Hieronymus1,2, Evana López3, Helena Werin Sjögren1,4
1Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
JAMA Network Open
|July 30, 2025
Summary
Psilocybin shows promise for depression, but its efficacy may be overestimated. Control groups in psilocybin trials showed less improvement than those in SSRI or esketamine trials, suggesting potential bias.
Area of Science:
- Psychiatry
- Neuroscience
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Psilocybin demonstrates rapid and potent antidepressant effects, often exceeding conventional treatments.
- Concerns exist regarding potential bias in psilocybin trials due to functional unblinding and participant expectations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare depression treatment outcomes in control groups across randomized clinical trials.
- To evaluate control treatment outcomes from trials involving psilocybin, SSRIs, and esketamine.
Main Methods:
- A meta-analysis of double-blind trials for major depressive disorder (MDD) or treatment-resistant depression (TRD) was conducted.
- Included trials utilized the Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) and had relevant control arms.
- Data from 17 trials (4 psilocybin, 2 esketamine, 11 SSRIs) were pooled using random-effects models.
Main Results:
- Participants in psilocybin control groups showed significantly less improvement in MADRS scores compared to control groups in SSRI and esketamine trials.
- MADRS response rates were lower in psilocybin control groups (14-23 percentage points lower than SSRI/esketamine controls).
- Dropout rates were substantially lower for psilocybin and esketamine trials compared to SSRI trials.
Conclusions:
- Control treatment outcomes in psilocybin trials suggest less improvement than in SSRI or esketamine trials.
- The antidepressant efficacy of psilocybin may be overestimated relative to SSRIs and esketamine.
- Further research is needed to address potential biases and confirm psilocybin's true treatment effect.
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