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Crisis Circumstances in Adult U.S. Suicide Deaths: A Latent Class Analysis
Amanda M Sursely1, Emily K Roberts2, Sarah H Nash1
1Department of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa.
Introduction:
Suicide is a critical public health issue in the U.S., where it ranks as the 11th leading cause of death. Precipitating crises are life events that occur prior to a suicide and increase risk. This study aimed to identify distinct groupings of precipitating crises in adults who died by suicide.
Methods:
Data from the National Violent Death Reporting System included 55,448 suicides from 2013 to 2021, where the decedent had experienced a precipitating crisis in the 2 weeks surrounding death. Crisis variables were used to model latent classes of circumstances through Latent Class Analysis. Models were fit with 2-10 classes, and the optimal solution was selected through fit statistics, entropy, and interpretability. Logistic regression was used to assess the associations between demographic characteristics (age, sex (male/female), race, ethnicity, military status, rurality) and class membership. All analyses were performed in 2024.
Results:
A 6-class model best fit the data, including (1) co-occurring substance use, alcohol, relationship, and eviction; (2) physical health; (3) other; (4) criminal legal; (5) co-occurring job, financial, and intimate partner; and (6) intimate partner crises. There was significant variation in class membership by demographic characteristics. For example, adults aged 55-65 years had higher odds of belonging to Class 2 than younger adults (AOR=18.53; 95% CI=13.12, 26.93).
Conclusions:
This study identified 6-crisis profiles with patterns of life events that can be recognized by healthcare providers. Individuals experiencing single-circumstance crises may benefit from addressing the specific stressor, whereas those in multifaceted-crisis profiles likely require comprehensive interventions that tackle overlapping stressors simultaneously.
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