Mortality prediction in geriatric patients with multiple trauma presenting by ambulance

Aynur Yurtseven1, Afşin Emre Kayıpmaz1

  • 1Department of Emergency Medicine, Etlik State Hospital Faculty of Health Sciences, Ankara-Türkiye.

Abstract

Insights

The Modified 5-Factor Frailty Index (mFI-5) effectively predicts mortality in geriatric trauma patients, similar to ISS and GTOS. Its ease of calculation makes mFI-5 a practical tool for emergency settings.

Area of Science:

  • Geriatric Trauma Research
  • Trauma Scoring Systems
  • Predictive Analytics in Medicine

Background:

  • The Modified 5-Factor Frailty Index (mFI-5) is recognized for predicting complications in geriatric patients.
  • Limited research compares mFI-5 with established trauma scores for multi-injury cases.
  • This study investigates the relationship between mFI-5, Injury Severity Score (ISS), and Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score (GTOS) in geriatric trauma mortality.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the association between mFI-5, ISS, and GTOS with mortality in geriatric trauma patients.
  • To compare the predictive capabilities of these scoring systems for adverse outcomes.
  • To determine the practicality of mFI-5 in emergency trauma care.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cohort study of geriatric trauma patients (≥65 years).
  • Data collection included demographics, injury details, laboratory results, and outcomes (mortality, ICU admission).
  • Analysis of ISS, GTOS, and mFI-5 scores in relation to mortality.

Main Results:

  • 241 patients (mean age 78.12 years) were analyzed; falls were the most common cause.
  • Higher ISS, GTOS, and mFI-5 scores were significantly associated with increased 24-hour, one-month, and three-month mortality (p<0.05).
  • All three scoring systems demonstrated similar effectiveness in predicting mortality.

Conclusions:

  • Scoring systems are crucial for early mortality prediction in geriatric trauma.
  • ISS, GTOS, and mFI-5 show comparable effectiveness in predicting comorbidities, ICU admission, and mortality.
  • mFI-5 offers a practical advantage due to its simple calculation, making it suitable for emergency settings.