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Continuous Glucose Monitoring Metrics Predict All-Cause Mortality in Diabetes: A Real-world Long-term Study.
Tomoki Okuno1,2, Sharon A Macwan2, Gregory J Norman3
1Department of Biostatistics, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA.
Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) metrics predict mortality risk in diabetes patients. Key indicators like higher mean glucose and time above range signal increased risk, offering insights beyond HbA1c.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Diabetes Management
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) provides detailed glycemic insights.
- Traditional metrics like HbA1c may not fully capture mortality risk in diabetes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between CGM-derived glucose metrics and all-cause mortality in adults with type 1 or type 2 diabetes.
- To determine if CGM metrics offer superior risk prediction compared to HbA1c.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 2,752 adult diabetes patients from the Veterans Affairs Healthcare System with Dexcom CGM data (2015-2020).
- Evaluation of CGM metrics (mean glucose, time in range, time above range, coefficient of variation, glycemic risk index) against 5-year all-cause mortality using Cox models.
- Data merged with electronic health records, with landmark periods of 14 days, 3 months, and 6 months.
Main Results:
- Higher mean glucose, time above range, coefficient of variation, and glycemic risk index, along with lower time in range during the 6-month landmark period, were significantly associated with 5-year mortality.
- These associations remained significant even after adjusting for HbA1c.
- The association between coefficient of variation and mortality was independent of other CGM metrics and stronger in individuals with lower HbA1c.
Conclusions:
- CGM-derived metrics are significantly associated with all-cause mortality in patients with diabetes.
- CGM metrics may provide a more comprehensive assessment of long-term mortality risk than HbA1c alone, capturing risks from glucose variability and excursions.
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