A statistical framework for detecting therapy-induced resistance from drug screens

Chenyu Wu1, Einar Bjarki Gunnarsson2, Jasmine Foo3

  • 1Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Minnesota, Twin Cities, MN, USA. wu000766@umn.edu.

Insights

This study introduces a new statistical model to detect and quantify therapy-induced cancer cell resistance. The framework uses branching processes and drug screening data to predict tumor evolution and improve cancer treatment strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Cancer Research
  • Mathematical Biology
  • Evolutionary Dynamics

Background:

  • Therapy resistance in cancer is a major challenge, often driven by stem-like cells and induced plasticity.
  • Anticancer therapies can inadvertently promote resistance through epigenetic changes and de-differentiation.
  • Understanding the interplay between anti-tumor effects and induced resistance is crucial for effective treatment strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a statistical framework for characterizing tumor cell population dynamics under therapy.
  • To enable the detection and quantification of therapy-induced resistance using multi-type branching process models.
  • To analyze high-throughput drug screening data without needing subpopulation counts.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized multi-type branching process models to simulate tumor cell population evolution.
  • Developed a statistical framework to analyze total cell count data from drug screening.
  • Validated the model using both in silico simulations and in vitro experimental data.

Main Results:

  • The framework successfully detected and quantified therapy-induced resistance in simulated and experimental data.
  • Demonstrated the ability to predict evolutionary dynamics of tumor cell populations.
  • Provided a robust method for analyzing drug screening results.

Conclusions:

  • The developed statistical framework offers a powerful tool for understanding and combating cancer therapy resistance.
  • This approach can guide the development of more effective cancer treatment strategies by accounting for induced resistance.
  • The model's ability to use total cell counts simplifies resistance analysis in drug screening.