A predictive model using platelets and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for the number of lymph node metastases in papillary thyroid carcinoma: a retrospective analysis

  • 0The Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou First People's Hospital, Hangzhou, China.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Predicting lymph node metastases in papillary thyroid cancer is now more accurate. A new model uses age, tumor size, platelet count, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio to identify high-risk patients before surgery.

Area Of Science

  • Oncology
  • Surgical Oncology
  • Biomarkers

Background

  • Large number lymph node metastases (LNLNMs) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) increase recurrence risk.
  • Preoperative prediction of LNLNMs in PTC is challenging for clinicians.
  • Identifying high-risk patients is crucial for personalized treatment strategies.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To develop and validate a predictive model for LNLNMs in PTC.
  • Integrate blood inflammatory markers and clinical features for risk assessment.
  • Enhance preoperative risk stratification for PTC patients.

Main Methods

  • Retrospective cohort study of 731 PTC patients.
  • Logistic regression analysis to identify independent risk factors for LNLNM.
  • Model development and validation using ROC curves, HL test, and DCA.

Main Results

  • Age, tumor diameter, platelet (Plt) count, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were independent risk factors for LNLNM.
  • The predictive model achieved an AUC of 0.827 in the model group and 0.824 in the validation group.
  • The model demonstrated good calibration and diagnostic value.

Conclusions

  • Age, tumor diameter, Plt count, and NLR are significant risk factors for LNLNM in PTC.
  • The developed predictive model effectively identifies patients at high risk for LNLNM.
  • This model aids surgeons in preoperative risk assessment and personalized treatment planning.