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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
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Unprecedented large-scale aquifer recovery through human intervention
Di Long1,2, Yuancheng Xu3,4, Yingjie Cui3,4
1State Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. dlong@tsinghua.edu.cn.
Nature Communications
|August 7, 2025
Summary
Groundwater depletion reversal achieved in the North China Plain through water diversion and pumping regulations. This integrated water management strategy demonstrates successful aquifer recovery across a vast region.
Area of Science:
- Hydrology
- Environmental Science
- Water Resource Management
Background:
- Groundwater depletion poses a significant global challenge, especially in arid agricultural regions.
- The North China Plain is one of the most severely affected areas, with a long history of declining groundwater levels.
- Successful, large-scale groundwater recovery cases are rare, making this study particularly significant.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the reversal of long-term groundwater decline in the North China Plain.
- To identify the key drivers and policy interventions behind this aquifer recovery.
- To demonstrate the feasibility of large-scale groundwater restoration through integrated management.
Main Methods:
- Comprehensive analysis of groundwater level data from over 2000 monitoring wells (2005-2024).
- Evaluation of the impact of surface water diversion projects and groundwater pumping regulations.
- Quantification of changes in groundwater abstraction and environmental water allocations.
Main Results:
- Groundwater levels in the North China Plain have risen at an average rate of ~0.7 m/year since 2020.
- Policies reduced annual groundwater abstraction by ~12 km³ (2005-2023) and increased environmental water allocations (>7 km³ since 2021).
- Aquifer recharge and environmental flows have been restored, surpassing 2005 levels by 2024.
Conclusions:
- Integrated water management, combining water diversion and strict pumping regulations, can achieve rapid and large-scale groundwater recovery.
- The North China Plain's experience offers a successful model for reversing groundwater depletion in other severely impacted regions.
- Targeted policy interventions over extensive areas (~130,000 km²) are crucial for sustainable aquifer management.

