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Predictive utility of Post-Treatment tumor apparent diffusion coefficient in High-Risk prostate cancer undergoing
Cem Onal1, Gurcan Erbay2, Ozan Cem Guler3
1Department of Radiation Oncology, Baskent University Faculty of Medicine Adana Dr Turgut Noyan Research and Treatment Center, Adana, Turkiye; Department of Radiation Oncology, Baskent University Faculty of Medicine, Ankara, Turkiye.
Background:
This study evaluated the prognostic value of post-treatment apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) derived from diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) in high-risk prostate cancer (PCa) patients treated with definitive radiotherapy (RT) and androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).
Materials And Methods:
A retrospective cohort of 186 high-risk PCa patients treated between 2012 and 2023 was analyzed. All underwent pre- and post-treatment DW-MRI for staging, RT planning, and response assessment. Each patient received prostate and pelvic field RT, underwent ADT for at least 12 months, and had a minimum follow-up period of 24 months. Primary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and prostate cancer-specific survival (PCSS).
Results:
Post-treatment DW-MRI, performed at a median of 4.1 months, showed increased tumor ADC in 94 % of patients. While baseline tumor ADC values were not significantly associated with disease progression, lower post-treatment ADC and limited ADC increase were significantly correlated with worse outcomes. At a median follow-up of 10.7 years, 10-year PFS and PCSS rates were 79.2 % and 82.3 %, respectively. High post-treatment ADC was associated with superior PFS (89.1 % vs. 61.7 %; p < 0.001) and PCSS (87.7 % vs. 69.7 %; p = 0.009). High ADC response also predicted better PFS (88.4 % vs. 57.1 %; p = 0.001) and PCSS (89.0 % vs. 71.5 %; p = 0.04). Low PSA and high ADC response predicted better PFS, while simultaneous integrated boost improved PCSS. High PSA, high ISUP grade, short ADT duration, and low post-treatment ADC were independently associated with progression.
Conclusions:
Post-treatment ADC and its changes are promising non-invasive biomarkers for long-term outcome prediction in high-risk PCa. Integration of DW-MRI-derived ADC analysis may enhance post-treatment risk stratification and guide personalized management.
