Beyond Treatment Decisions: The Predictive Value of Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment in Older Cancer Patients

Background: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) is essential for evaluating older cancer patients, but significant gaps persist in both research and clinical practice. This study aimed (I) to identify the CGA elements that most influence anti-cancer treatment decisions in older patients and (II) to explore the predictive value of CGA components for mortality. Methods: This observational study included older patients with newly diagnosed, histologically confirmed solid or hematological cancers, recruited consecutively from 2003 to 2023. Participants were followed for four years. The data collected included CGA measures of functional (Activities of Daily Living-ADL), cognitive (Mini-Mental State Examination-MMSE), and emotional (Geriatric Depression Scale-GDS) domains. Patients were categorized into frail, vulnerable, or fit groups based on Balducci's criteria. Statistical analyses included decision tree modeling and Cox regression to identify predictors of mortality. Results: A total of 7022 patients (3222 females) were included, with a mean age of 78.3 ± 12.9 years. The key CGA factors influencing treatment decisions were ADL (first step), cohabitation status (second step), and age (last step). After four years, 21.9% patients had died. Higher GDS scores (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.07, p = 0.04) were independently associated with survival in men and living with family members (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.35-2.07, p < 0.001) in women. Younger patients (<77 years) showed both MMSE and GDS as significant risk factors for mortality. Conclusions: Functional capacity, cohabitation status, and GDS scores are crucial for guiding treatment decisions and predicting mortality in older cancer patients, emphasizing the need for a multidimensional geriatric assessment.