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Machine Learning Models to Predict Risk of Maternal Morbidity and Mortality From Electronic Medical Record Data:
Lavanya Vasudevan1,2, Mohammad Golam Kibria3, Lauren M Kucirka4,5
1Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, 1518 Clifton Rd NE, Atlanta, GA, 30322, United States, 1 404-727-8812.
Machine learning models show promise for predicting maternal health risks using electronic medical records. However, current research primarily focuses on risk prediction, with no studies detailing clinical applications or implementation factors.
Area of Science:
- Medical Informatics
- Public Health
- Machine Learning in Healthcare
Background:
- Over 80% of maternal deaths in the US are preventable, highlighting the need for proactive interventions.
- Machine learning (ML) models utilizing electronic medical records (EMRs) offer a potential strategy for predicting adverse maternal outcomes.
- Existing reviews often lack a comprehensive scope, focusing narrowly on specific outcomes or excluding the full development-to-implementation pipeline of ML models.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review the evidence on ML models for predicting maternal morbidity and mortality risk (RO1).
- To assess the translation of these ML models into clinical applications for healthcare providers (RO2).
- To identify factors influencing the implementation of ML clinical applications in practice (RO3).
Main Methods:
- A comprehensive search was conducted across major databases (PubMed, CINAHL Plus, Scopus, Embase, IEEE Xplore) on February 20, 2023.
- Studies were limited to those using EMR data in healthcare settings, with rigorous title, abstract, and full-text screening by independent reviewers.
- Data extraction followed a structured template, and findings were summarized descriptively.
Main Results:
- Out of 480 identified studies, 39 were included, with over half published in 2022, predominantly from the US, China, and Israel.
- The majority of studies focused on predicting pregnancy and delivery outcomes, particularly cardiovascular risks, hypertensive disorders, gestational diabetes, and postpartum hemorrhage.
- While 30 studies used computable phenotypes and boosting methods were common, no studies reported on clinical applications (RO2) or implementation factors (RO3).
Conclusions:
- Future research should prioritize postpartum outcomes and enhance study transparency and reproducibility using reporting checklists.
- Significant gaps exist in the translation and implementation of ML models into clinical practice for maternal care.
- Expanded efforts are crucial to bridge the gap between ML model development and real-world clinical application to prevent maternal mortality.
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