Differentiation between bipolar disorder and major depressive disorder based on AMPA receptor distribution

An accurate diagnostic method using biological indicators is critically needed for bipolar disorder (BD) and major depressive disorder (MDD). The excitatory glutamate α-amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazolepropionic acid receptor (AMPAR) is a crucial regulator of synaptic function, and its dysregulation may play a central role in the pathophysiology of psychiatric disorders. Our recently developed positron emission tomography (PET) tracer, [¹¹C]K-2, enables the quantitative visualization of AMPAR distribution and is considered useful for characterizing synaptic phenotypes in patients with psychiatric disorders. This study aimed to develop a machine learning-based method to differentiate bipolar disorder from major depressive disorder using AMPAR density. Sixteen patients with BD and 27 patients with MDD, all in depressive episodes, underwent PET scans with [¹¹C]K-2 and structural magnetic resonance imaging. AMPAR density was estimated using the standardized uptake value ratio from 30 to 50 min after tracer injection, normalized to whole brain radioactivity. A partial least squares model was trained to predict diagnoses based on AMPAR density, and its performance was evaluated using a leave-one-pair-out cross-validation. Significant differences in AMPAR density were observed in the parietal lobe, cerebellum, and frontal lobe, notably the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex between patients with BD and patients with MDD during a depressive episode. The model achieved an area under the curve of 0.80, sensitivity of 75.0%, and specificity of 77.8%. These findings suggest that AMPAR density measured with [¹¹C]K-2 can effectively distinguish BD from MDD and may aid diagnosis, especially in patients with ambiguous symptoms or incomplete clinical presentation.