Development of a host-signature-based machine learning model to diagnose bacterial and viral infections in febrile

Fang Bai1, Zelong Gong2, Dong Cui2

  • 1Dongguan Key Laboratory of Pathogenesis and Experimental Diagnosis of Infectious Diseases, Institute of Laboratory Medicine of School of Medical Technology, The First Dongguan Affiliated Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Dongguan, Guangdong, China.

Frontiers in Pediatrics
|August 22, 2025
PubMed

Insights

A novel five-gene host signature accurately diagnoses bacterial or viral infections in febrile children. This host gene signature enables the development of artificial neural network (ANN) and random forest (RF) models for improved clinical decision-making.

Area of Science:

  • Bioinformatics
  • Infectious Disease Diagnostics
  • Host Gene Expression Analysis

Background:

  • Accurate etiological diagnosis is crucial for managing febrile children, guiding treatment and impacting outcomes.
  • Host gene-based diagnostic strategies offer high accuracy and clinical utility.
  • Traditional methods for differentiating bacterial and viral infections in children can be time-consuming and may lead to delayed treatment.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate artificial neural network (ANN) and random forest (RF) models for diagnosing bacterial versus viral (B/V) infections in febrile children.
  • To identify a host gene signature predictive of B/V infection.
  • To assess the diagnostic performance of the developed models.

Main Methods:

  • Integrative bioinformatics analysis of whole blood transcriptome data from febrile children.
  • Differential gene expression (DEG) analysis and weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA).
  • Development of ANN (multilayer perceptron) and RF models using identified host gene signatures, including L1 regularization for feature selection.

Main Results:

  • A five-gene signature (LCN2, IFI27, SLPI, IFIT2, PI3) was identified as a top predictor of B/V infection.
  • The RF model achieved an AUC of 0.9517 in testing for B/V diagnosis, while the ANN model achieved an AUC of 0.9540.
  • A generalized RF model demonstrated an AUC of 0.8968 in testing for predicting diverse etiological infections.

Conclusions:

  • A five-gene host signature effectively distinguishes bacterial from viral infections in febrile children.
  • The developed RF and ANN models demonstrate high diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity for B/V infection.
  • These gene-based models offer a promising approach for rapid and accurate etiological diagnosis in pediatric infectious diseases.
Abstract