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A Generalized Risk-Adjusted Cost-Effectiveness Economic Model for Measuring the Value of Interventions That Delay
Jason Shafrin1, Jaehong Kim2, Jacob Fajnor2
1FTI Consulting, Los Angeles, CA, USA; University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Summary
Incorporating patient risk preferences and severity adjustments significantly increases the health economic value of neurological treatments. Traditional cost-effectiveness analysis may undervalue these interventions for mobility impairments.
Area of Science:
- Health Economics
- Neurology
- Decision Analysis
Background:
- Neurological conditions often cause mobility impairments, necessitating effective treatments.
- Assessing the economic value of treatments is crucial for healthcare decision-making.
- Traditional cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) may not fully capture patient-specific factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the impact of patient risk preferences and severity adjustments on the economic value of a hypothetical neurological treatment.
- To compare a generalized and risk-adjusted cost-effectiveness (GRACE) model with traditional CEA.
Main Methods:
- Developed a five-state Markov model to assess a hypothetical treatment delaying mobility impairment progression.
- Implemented the GRACE model using US population risk aversion estimates.
- Measured treatment value using risk-aversion and severity-adjusted net monetary benefit (RASA-NMB).
Main Results:
- GRACE increased the valuation of health gains (1.358 GRA-QALYs vs. 1.199 QALYs) and willingness-to-pay ($109,656/GRA-QALY vs. $100,000/QALY).
- RASA-NMB was 11.6% higher with GRACE ($278,324) compared to traditional CEA ($249,311).
- Results demonstrated sensitivity to risk aversion estimates and patient utility functions.
Conclusions:
- The GRACE model, applied to neurology for the first time, enhanced the economic value assessment of a hypothetical treatment.
- GRACE suggests traditional CEA may undervalue treatments for neurological mobility impairments.
- Incorporating risk preferences and severity provides a more comprehensive economic evaluation.
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