Task Travel Time Prediction Method Based on IMA-SURBF for Task Dispatching of Heterogeneous AGV System

The heterogeneous automatic guided vehicle (AGV) system, composed of several AGVs with different load capability and handling function, has good flexibility and agility to operational requirements. Accurate task travel time prediction (T3P) is vital for the efficient operation of heterogeneous AGV systems. However, T3P remains a challenging problem due to individual task correlations and dynamic changes in model input/output dimensions. To address these challenges, a biomimetics-inspired learning framework based on a radial basis function (RBF) neural network with an improved mayfly algorithm and a selective update strategy (IMA-SURBF) is proposed. Firstly, a T3P model is constructed by using travel-influencing factors as input and task travel time as output of the RBF neural network, where the input/output dimension is determined dynamically. Secondly, the improved mayfly algorithm (IMA), a biomimetic metaheuristic method, is adopted to optimize the initial parameters of the RBF neural network, while a selective update strategy is designed for parameter updates. Finally, simulation experiments on model design, parameter initialization, and comparison with deep learning-based models are conducted in a complex assembly line scenario to validate the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method.