Using Machine Learning to Detect Factors That Affect Homocysteine in Healthy Elderly Taiwanese Men

Background: Homocysteine (Hcy) is a sulfur-containing amino acid crucial for various physiological processes, with elevated levels linked to cardiovascular and neurological adverse conditions. Various factors contribute to high Hcy, and past studies of impact factors relied on traditional statistical methods. Recently, machine learning (ML) techniques have greatly improved and are now widely applied in medical research. This study used four ML methods to identify key factors influencing Hcy in healthy elderly Taiwanese men, comparing their accuracy using multiple linear regression (MLR). The study seeks to improve Hcy prediction accuracy and provide insights into relevant impact factors. Methods: A total of 468 healthy elderly men were studied in terms of 33 parameters using four ML methods: random forest (RF), stochastic gradient boosting (SGB), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and elastic net (EN). MLR served as a benchmark. Model performance was assessed using SMAPE, RAE, RRSE, and RMSE. Results: All ML methods demonstrated lower prediction errors than MLR, indicating higher accuracy. By averaging the importance scores from the four ML models, C-reactive protein (CRP) emerged as the leading impact factor for Hcy, followed by GPT, WBC, LDH, eGFR, and sport volume (SV). Conclusions: Machine learning methods outperformed MLR in predicting Hcy levels in healthy elderly Taiwanese men. CRP was identified as the most crucial factor, followed by GPT/ALT, WBC, LDH, and eGFR.