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Early-Onset Versus Late-Onset Preeclampsia in Bogotá, Colombia: Differential Risk Factor Identification and
Ayala-Ramírez Paola1,2, Mennickent Daniela3,4, Farkas Carlos3
1Human Genetics Institute, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá 110231, Colombia.
Insights
Early-onset preeclampsia (EOP) and late-onset preeclampsia (LOP) have distinct risk factors in Colombian women. Machine learning models identified education and hypertension history as key predictors for EOP.
Area of Science:
- Obstetrics and Gynecology
- Perinatal Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Preeclampsia (PE) is a leading cause of maternal and perinatal mortality, especially in low- and middle-income countries.
- Early-onset PE (EOP) and late-onset PE (LOP) represent distinct clinical conditions with different underlying mechanisms.
- Limited research exists on differential risk factors for EOP and LOP in Latin American populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify and evaluate clinical risk factors for predicting EOP and LOP.
- To compare traditional statistical methods with machine learning (ML) for PE subtype prediction.
- To develop context-specific prenatal care strategies for pregnant women in Bogotá, Colombia.
Main Methods:
- A cross-sectional observational study of 190 pregnant women with PE (80 EOP, 110 LOP) in Bogotá.
- Data collection via structured interviews and clinical records, including risk factors and perinatal outcomes.
- Application of traditional statistics and eleven ML techniques for predictive modeling and feature importance analysis.
Main Results:
- EOP was associated with higher maternal education and hypertension history; LOP with allergic history.
- Linear discriminant analysis achieved the highest recall (0.71) for PE subtype prediction.
- Key predictors identified by ML included education level, family history of perinatal death, and hypertension history.
Conclusions:
- EOP and LOP present with unique clinical profiles in this Colombian cohort.
- Integrating traditional statistics with ML enhances early risk stratification for PE subtypes.
- Findings support the development of tailored prenatal care strategies in similar healthcare settings.
Abstract:
Background/Objectives: Preeclampsia (PE) is a major cause of maternal and perinatal morbidity and mortality, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Early-onset PE (EOP) and late-onset PE (LOP) are distinct clinical entities with differing pathophysiological mechanisms and prognoses. However, few studies have explored differential risk factors for EOP and LOP in Latin American populations. This study aimed to identify and assess clinical risk factors for predicting EOP and LOP in a cohort of pregnant women from Bogotá, Colombia, using traditional statistics and machine learning (ML). Methods: A cross-sectional observational study was conducted on 190 pregnant women diagnosed with PE (EOP = 80, LOP = 110) at a tertiary hospital in Bogotá between 2017 and 2018. Risk factors and perinatal outcomes were collected via structured interviews and clinical records. Traditional statistical analyses were performed to compare the study groups and identify associations between risk factors and outcomes. Eleven ML techniques were used to train and externally validate predictive models for PE subtype and secondary outcomes, incorporating permutation-based feature importance to enhance interpretability. Results: EOP was significantly associated with higher maternal education and history of hypertension, while LOP was linked to a higher prevalence of allergic history. The best-performing ML model for predicting PE subtype was linear discriminant analysis (recall = 0.71), with top predictors including education level, family history of perinatal death, number of sexual partners, primipaternity, and family history of hypertension. Conclusions: EOP and LOP exhibit distinct clinical profiles in this cohort. The combination of traditional statistics with ML may improve early risk stratification and support context-specific prenatal care strategies in similar settings.
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