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Published on: March 22, 2022
Leukocyte Count Is Better than LDL-C as Predictor of Novel Carotid Atherosclerosis
1Department of Health Management, Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital, School of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing 102218, China.
Insights
Elevated leukocyte count and LDL-C levels are early indicators of carotid atherosclerosis (CAS) development in middle-aged adults. These markers can predict CAS within a year, with leukocyte count showing a stronger association than LDL-C.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Internal Medicine
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Carotid atherosclerosis (CAS) is a significant health concern in middle-aged adults.
- Identifying early risk factors for CAS is crucial for timely intervention.
- Fatty liver disease (FLD) is a common comorbidity that may influence CAS development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify risk factors for the initial development of carotid atherosclerosis (CAS) in middle-aged adults.
- To establish predictive cutoff values for early CAS detection.
- To investigate the association between leukocyte count, LDL-C, and CAS development.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 1141 middle-aged adults.
- Comparison of subjects who developed CAS with a control group free of CAS and FLD.
- Statistical analyses including logistic regression, COX regression, and ROC curve analysis.
Main Results:
- Elevated leukocyte count (AUC: 0.622) and LDL-C (AUC: 0.600) were significantly associated with CAS development.
- Optimal predictive thresholds were identified as leukocyte count >5.00 × 10^9/L and LDL-C >125.1 mg/dL.
- Leukocyte count demonstrated a slightly stronger correlation with arteriosclerosis progression than LDL-C.
Conclusions:
- Leukocyte count and LDL-C serve as early warning indicators for CAS development within approximately one year.
- These biomarkers can aid in the early identification and management of carotid atherosclerosis.
- Further research may explore the combined predictive value of these markers.
Abstract:
Background: this retrospective cohort study aimed to identify risk factors and establish cutoff values for the initial development of carotid atherosclerosis (CAS) in middle-aged adults. Methods: from an initial cohort of 3583 participants, we finally analyzed 1141 individuals. The observation group comprised subjects who developed CAS without concomitant fatty liver disease (FLD), using their last normal clinical measurements as predictors. The control group consisted of participants who remained free of both CAS and FLD throughout the follow-up period. Statistical analyses included Student's t-test, Mann-Whitney U test, and chi-square test for group comparisons, along with logistic regression, COX regression, ROC curve analysis, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis to identify risk factors and determine optimal cutoff values. Repeated-measures ANOVA assessed longitudinal changes. Results: over a mean follow-up of 1.09 years, elevated leukocyte count (AUC: 0.622, 95% CI: 0.540-0.704) and LDL-C (AUC 0.600, 95% CI: 0.516-0.683) were associated with CAS development in middle-aged adults (mean age 49.6 ± 8.0 years). ROC analysis established leukocyte count >5.00 × 109/L and LDL-C >125.1 mg/dL as optimal predictive thresholds. Conclusions: leukocyte count and LDL-C are early warning indicators for CAS development within approximately one year, with leukocyte count showing a slightly stronger correlation with arteriosclerosis progression than LDL-C.
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