Optimizing ensemble machine learning models for accurate liver disease prediction in healthcare
W El Atifi1,2, O El Rhazouani1, Fida Muhammad Khan3
1Hassan First University of Settat, High Institute of Health Sciences, Laboratory of Sciences and Health Technologies, Settat, Morocco.
Plos One
|August 28, 2025
Summary
Machine learning models show promise for early liver disease detection. The Random Forest Classifier achieved over 85% accuracy, offering a potential new diagnostic tool for liver conditions.
Area of Science:
- Medical Informatics
- Computational Biology
- Machine Learning
Background:
- Liver disease, encompassing conditions like hepatitis and cirrhosis, often progresses silently, making early detection crucial.
- Risk factors include infections, alcohol abuse, obesity, and genetic predispositions.
- Effective management relies on early detection and lifestyle changes to prevent severe liver damage.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the efficacy of ensemble machine learning classifiers for predicting liver disease.
- To compare the performance of Random Forest, Ada Boost, and Gradient Boosting Classifiers using a specific dataset.
- To identify the optimal machine learning model for accurate liver disease diagnosis.
Main Methods:
- Feature extraction and selection were performed on the dataset.
- Hyperparameter tuning was conducted using Randomized Search CV and GridSearchCV.
- Ensemble classifiers including Random Forest, Ada Boost, and Gradient Boosting were implemented and compared.
Main Results:
- The Random Forest Classifier, optimized via GridSearchCV, achieved the highest accuracy exceeding 85.17%.
- This model demonstrated balanced performance with precision at 0.85, recall at 0.81 (presence) and 0.87 (absence), and F1-scores of 0.83 and 0.85.
- Ada Boost and Gradient Boosting Classifiers also showed high performance, though not significantly outperforming Random Forest.
Conclusions:
- Ensemble machine learning techniques show significant potential for diagnosing liver diseases.
- The optimized Random Forest Classifier can serve as a precise diagnostic tool, improving patient outcomes.
- Further research with larger datasets and deep learning integration is warranted to advance ML applications in healthcare diagnostics.
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