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  1. Home
  2. Land Availability And Policy Commitments Limit Global Climate Mitigation From Forestation.
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  2. Land Availability And Policy Commitments Limit Global Climate Mitigation From Forestation.

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Land availability and policy commitments limit global climate mitigation from forestation.

Yijie Wang1, Yakun Zhu1, Susan C Cook-Patton2,3

  • 1School of Atmospheric Sciences, Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System (Ministry of Education), Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies, Sun Yat-sen University, Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China.

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|August 28, 2025

View abstract on PubMed

Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Forestation can mitigate climate change by sequestering carbon. However, global carbon sequestration estimates from forestation are uncertain due to soil carbon variability and land availability constraints.

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Climate Change Mitigation
  • Forest Ecology

Background:

  • Forestation, encompassing afforestation and reforestation, offers potential for climate change mitigation through carbon sequestration in biomass and soils.
  • Uncertainty in global forestation mitigation estimates stems from variable soil carbon sequestration rates and land availability assessments.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop global maps of soil carbon change associated with forestation.
  • To provide more accurate estimates of carbon sequestration potential under different land availability scenarios.

Main Methods:

  • Development of global maps detailing soil carbon gains and losses resulting from forestation.
  • Analysis of carbon sequestration potential considering constraints on land availability to avoid negative impacts like albedo-induced warming, and to safeguard water resources and biodiversity.

Main Results:

  • Forestation, with 389 million hectares available globally (considering constraints), could sequester 39.9 petagrams of carbon by 2050, a figure lower than prior projections.
  • Carbon sequestration potential reduces to 12.5 petagrams of carbon when land availability is limited to current policy commitments (120 million hectares).
  • Soil carbon changes were primarily observed in the topsoil layer.

Conclusions:

  • Achieving higher carbon sequestration through forestation necessitates expanding dedicated forestation areas.
  • Strengthening national commitments is crucial for nations possessing significant untapped forestation potential to enhance climate change mitigation efforts.