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Published on: July 22, 2025
Pediatric asthma population risk stratification using k-means clustering.
Mandana Rezaeiahari1, Arina Eyimina1, Melanie Boyd1
1College of Public Health, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas.
Identifying distinct pediatric asthma patient groups using social determinants of health can improve care. Children in low opportunity areas, particularly Black children, face higher asthma exacerbation risks.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Health
- Social Epidemiology
- Health Disparities
Background:
- Asthma disproportionately affects children, with social determinants of health (SDOH) playing a significant role in exacerbations and outcomes.
- Identifying specific pediatric asthma patient groups based on SDOH is crucial for targeted interventions and reducing health disparities.
Purpose of the Study:
- To stratify pediatric asthma patients into distinct groups using SDOH.
- To identify high-risk groups for asthma exacerbations and inform tailored care strategies.
Main Methods:
- Utilized insurance claims and enrollment data for 22,169 children aged 5-18 with asthma in Arkansas.
- Employed Generalized Low-Rank Models and K-means clustering incorporating comorbid conditions, medication data, Child Opportunity Index, and rural-urban classification.
- Compared resulting clusters based on asthma-related emergency department visits and hospitalizations.
Main Results:
- K-means clustering identified six distinct pediatric asthma patient groups.
- Cluster 1, characterized by a high percentage of Black children and residence in low Child Opportunity Index neighborhoods, exhibited significantly higher asthma-related emergency department visits.
- This high-risk cluster demonstrated profound disparities in education, health, environment, and socioeconomic factors.
Conclusions:
- Pediatric asthma disparities necessitate interventions addressing social, economic, and environmental inequities.
- Population risk stratification, as demonstrated by clustering, can effectively identify high-risk groups, such as Black children in low opportunity areas, for tailored asthma management.
- The study highlights the potential of SDOH in understanding and mitigating pediatric asthma exacerbations.
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