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Updated: Sep 9, 2025

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Five-Year Outcomes of First Suicide Attempts: Insights on Lethality, Recurrence, and Mortality
Eugènia Nicolau-Subires1, Maria Irigoyen-Otiñano1,2,3, Laura Arenas-Pijoan1
1Department of Psychiatry, Hospital Universitari de Santa Maria; Institut de Recerca Biomèdica Lleida, Lleida, Spain.
Abstract:
Introduction: Suicide is a leading cause of death globally. Although prior suicidal behavior is the strongest predictor of future attempts, clinical outcomes following a first suicide attempt (FSA) remain poorly understood. This study evaluates 5-year outcomes after an FSA, focusing on recurrence, lethality, and mortality to address gaps in understanding clinical trajectories and risk factors.
Abstract:
Methods: A cohort of 387 FSA patients was followed for 5 years. Sociodemographic and clinical data were collected at baseline and during follow-up. Outcomes included recurrence, lethality of subsequent attempts, and all-cause mortality. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression models were used to identify risk factors.
Abstract:
Results: During follow-up, 37.2% of patients experienced recurrence, with 27.8% classified as frequent reattempters (≥3 attempts). Overall, 5.7% of participants died, including 1.8% by suicide. High-lethality FSAs were observed in 17.3% of the sample and were strongly associated with alcohol use (odds ratio [OR], 2.142; 95% CI, 1.231-3.724; P=.021). Female sex was a significant risk factor for multiple reattempts (OR, 2.388; 95% CI, 1.036-5.507; P=.041). High-lethality FSAs significantly increased the risk of suicide deaths (hazard ratio [HR], 5.430; 95% CI, 1.189-24.792; P=.029), while older age was associated with a higher risk of nonsuicidal deaths (HR, 1.093; 95% CI, 1.035-1.153; P=.001).
Abstract:
Conclusions: Lethality, recurrence, and mortality following an FSA are influenced by distinct risk factors. Alcohol use predicted high-lethality FSAs, female sex predicted multiple reattempts, high-lethality FSAs predicted suicide deaths, and age predicted nonsuicidal deaths. Targeted interventions for these high-risk populations are needed.
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