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Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess deaths: descriptive study, Pernambuco, 2020-2022
Hélder Limeira Campos1, Gabriel Jesus Alves Fernandes1, Daphne Galvão de Sousa1
1Universidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil.
Objective:
To estimate the excess deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic in Pernambuco between 2020 and 2022.
Methods:
This descriptive study used data from the Mortality Information System (SIM). The excess deaths, expressed as the observed-to-expected deaths ratio, and the P-score, expressed as the proportional excess deaths, were evaluated. The estimated deaths used historical data from 2015 to 2019 based on linear regression models.
Results:
The highest proportional excess mortality for 2020 was evidenced in the Regional Health Management Department I, III, and IV (28.0%, 25.9%, and 18.1%); for 2021, in the Regional Health Management Departments I, XII and VIII (35.4%, 24.7% and 23.2%); and for 2022, in the Regional Health Management Departments XI, IV and VII (20.1%, 19.1% and 16.3%).
Conclusion:
The distribution of excess mortality in Pernambuco varied during the pandemic years and highlighted the inland spread of COVID-19-related deaths.
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