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Preeclampsia Screening Taking Into Account Ethnicity and Socioeconomic Status-A Comparison of the Competing Risks
Anastasija Arechvo1, Argyro Syngelaki1, Ranjit Akolekar2
1Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom; Institute of Women and Children's Health, School of Life Course and Population Sciences, King's College London, United Kingdom.
Objectives:
This study aimed to compare preeclampsia (PE) risk screening by risk factors and the multivariable competing risks model.
Methods:
This prospective cohort study enrolled singleton pregnancies, without major anomalies, and delivering at ≥24 weeks. PE risk was compared between the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) model and clinical risk factors by National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidance, U.K. and "NICE-modified" by adding Black ethnicity and social deprivation (index of multiple deprivation deciles 1-4) as moderate risk factors. To compare screening strategies, we matched the FMF screen-positive rate (SPR) to NICE.
Results:
At 11-13 weeks, preterm PE risk was assessed in 44 813 pregnancies; 368 (0.8%) developed preterm PE. At SPR = 7.4%, FMF (vs. NICE) almost tripled preterm PE detection rate (DR) but by more (by 19.8%) among Black women. The FMF model at SPR = 7.4% had DR = 67.7% for preterm PE, similar to NICE-modified screening (67.4%, which had SPR = 40.1%). At 35-36 weeks, subsequent PE risk was assessed in 29 035 pregnancies; 654 (2.3%) developed PE. At SPR = 10.9%, FMF (vs. NICE) more than doubled subsequent PE DR, regardless of index of multiple deprivation or Black ethnicity. FMF at SPR = 10.9% had DR for subsequent PE at least as high (70.5%) as NICE-modified screening (61.5%), which had SPR = 37.4%.
Conclusions:
The FMF model detects PE risk similar to risk factor-based screening, with addition of Black ethnicity and social deprivation as moderate risk factors but at substantially lower SPR at 11-13 weeks when aspirin is offered to prevent preterm PE and at 35-36 weeks when timed birth at term may prevent term PE.
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