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ESPWA: a deep learning-enabled tool for precision-based use of endocrine therapy in resource-limited settings
Dagoberto Pulido-Arias1, Rebecca Henderson2, Christophe Millien3
1Athinoula A. Martinos Center for Biomedical Imaging, Massachusetts General Hospital.
Biorxiv : the Preprint Server for Biology
|September 5, 2025
Summary
A new deep learning model, ESPWA, predicts estrogen receptor status from H&E stained slides, improving breast cancer endocrine therapy decisions in low-income countries. ESPWA offers accessible tumor profiling for better patient outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Computational pathology
- Artificial intelligence in oncology
- Digital histopathology for cancer diagnostics
Background:
- Cancer morbidity disproportionately impacts low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).
- Delayed or unavailable estrogen receptor (ER) status assessment hinders breast cancer endocrine therapy (ET) in LMICs.
- Empirical ET use leads to ineffective and toxic treatments for ER-negative patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a deep learning (DL) model, ESPWA (Estrogen Receptor Status Prediction for Haitian patients using deep learning-enabled histopathology Whole Slide Imaging Analysis), for ER status prediction.
- To assess ESPWA's performance directly from hematoxylin-and-eosin (H&E)-stained whole slide images (WSIs).
- To provide an accessible tool for tumor profiling in resource-limited settings.
Main Methods:
- Trained two DL models using weakly supervised attention-based multiple instance learning on H&E WSIs with matched ER status.
- Utilized The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Zanmi Lasante (ZL) from Haiti cohorts for model training and validation.
- Evaluated model performance using 10-fold cross-validation and compared against an academic breast pathologist.
Main Results:
- ESPWA demonstrated improved performance (AUROC=0.790) on the Haitian (ZL) cohort compared to a model trained solely on TCGA data (AUROC=0.671).
- ESPWA outperformed an academic breast pathologist in determining ER status from H&E WSIs (accuracy: 0.726 vs 0.639).
- Subgroup analyses identified specific patient populations where ESPWA showed enhanced performance.
Conclusions:
- ESPWA provides an accessible framework for predicting ER status from H&E WSIs, enabling individualized therapeutic insights in LMICs.
- The model's performance surpasses that of expert pathologists in this specific task.
- Clinical trials are underway in Haiti and sub-Saharan Africa to guide precision ET use for prospective breast cancer patients.
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