CT-based Radiomics of Intratumoral and Peritumoral Regions to Predict the Recurrence Risk in Patients with...

Predicting the recurrence risk of NMIBC after TURBT is crucial for individualized clinical treatment.

The objective of this study is to evaluate the ability of radiomic feature analysis of intratumoral and peritumoral regions based on computed tomography (CT) imaging to predict recurrence in non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) patients who underwent transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT).

A total of 233 patients with NMIBC who underwent TURBT were retrospectively analyzed. Within the intratumoral and peritumoral regions of the venous phase images, 1316 radiomics features were extracted. Feature selection was used to identify a set of top recurrence-associated features within the training cohort. Three models were constructed to predict recurrence for a given patient using Random Forest (RF): Model 1 was based on the radiomics features set from the intratumoral region, Model 2 was based on a combination of intratumoral and peritumoral regions, and Model 3 combined the radiomics features from Model 2 and clinical factors. The three models were then independently tested on internal and external cohorts, and their performance was evaluated. We also employed the bootstrap method on the internal cohort to further validate the performance of the model.

Combining intratumoral and peritumoral regions, Model 2 yielded a higher area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AUC) than Model 1, with 0.826 AUCs of the training cohort. After adding clinical factors, the predictive performance of Model 3 for postoperative recurrence of NMIBC was further improved, and the AUCs of the training, internal, and external validation cohorts of Model 3 were 0.860 (95% CI: 0.829-0.954), 0.829 (0.812-0.863), and 0.805 (0.652-0.840), respectively (all p>0.05). The bootstrap value of Model 3 on the internal cohort was 0.852. Model 3 stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups with significantly different recurrence-free survival (RFS) (p<0.001).

Radiomic features derived from intratumoral regions can predict the 2-year recurrence risk following TURBT in patients with NMIBC. The predictive performance is further enhanced when combined with radiomic features from peritumoral regions and clinical risk factors.