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We introduce a new, faster method for analyzing gravitational-wave data from pulsar timing arrays. This technique uses Bayesian variational inference and neural networks, significantly speeding up parameter estimation compared to traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo methods.

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Area of Science:

  • Astrophysics
  • Cosmology
  • Data Analysis

Background:

  • Parameter estimation in gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array (PTA) datasets typically uses Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods.
  • MCMC methods explore posterior probability densities but can be computationally intensive and time-consuming.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce a novel, computationally efficient alternative to MCMC for parameter estimation in PTA data analysis.
  • To leverage neural networks and Bayesian variational inference for faster and more scalable data analysis.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a stochastic gradient-descent Bayesian variational inference procedure.
  • Utilized a neural network to approximate the posterior probability density.
  • Minimized the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the approximate and exact posteriors.
  • Trained the network on a single dataset, differing from simulation-based inference.

Main Results:

  • The new technique significantly accelerates the analysis of PTA datasets, particularly on parallel computing platforms like GPUs.
  • Analysis of the NANOGrav 15-yr dataset was completed in tens of minutes, a substantial improvement over hours or days with MCMC.
  • The method requires computation of the data likelihood and its gradient.

Conclusions:

  • This fast variational inference technique offers a viable alternative for gravitational-wave data analysis.
  • The speedup enables new astrophysical and cosmological explorations with computationally expensive statistical models.
  • The approach is applicable to other gravitational-wave data analysis contexts with differentiable and parallelizable likelihoods.