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An Artificial Intelligence-Based Melt Flow Rate Prediction Method for Analyzing Polymer Properties
Mohammad Anwar Parvez1, Ibrahim M Mehedi2
1Department of Chemical Engineering, College of Engineering, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa 31982, Saudi Arabia.
Polymers
|September 13, 2025
Summary
This study introduces an AI model for predicting polymer melt flow rate (MFR) in real-time. The developed model accurately forecasts MFR, enabling enhanced quality control in polymer manufacturing.
Area of Science:
- Polymer Science and Engineering
- Materials Science
- Artificial Intelligence in Manufacturing
Background:
- Polymers are increasingly replacing traditional materials due to superior properties.
- Melt Flow Rate (MFR) is a critical indicator of polymer quality and processability.
- Current MFR measurement methods are time-consuming and not suitable for real-time industrial quality control.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an accurate and deployable artificial intelligence model for real-time prediction of polymer melt flow rate (MFR).
- To address the limitations of conventional offline MFR measurement techniques in industrial settings.
- To enhance polymer quality monitoring and processability analysis.
Main Methods:
- A dataset of 1044 polymer samples was utilized with six input features (reactor temperature, pressure, hydrogen-to-propylene ratio, catalyst feed rate) and MFR as the target variable.
- Min-max scaling was applied for input feature normalization.
- Two ensemble models, Kernel Extreme Learning Machine (KELM) and Random Vector Functional Link (RVFL), were developed and optimized using the Pelican Optimization Algorithm (POA).
Main Results:
- The proposed LAIML-MFRPPPA model achieved high predictive accuracy, with R² of 0.965, MAE of 0.09, RMSE of 0.12, and MAPE of 3.4%.
- The model demonstrated superior performance compared to traditional and deep learning models.
- SHAP-based sensitivity analysis identified melt temperature and molecular weight as dominant input features influencing MFR.
Conclusions:
- The LAIML-MFRPPPA model provides a robust and accurate solution for real-time polymer quality monitoring.
- This AI-driven approach facilitates efficient processability analysis and quality control in polymer manufacturing.
- The model's ability to predict MFR in real-time offers significant advantages for industrial applications.
Keywords:
artificial intelligencemachine learningmelt flow rate predictionpelican optimization algorithmpolymer properties analysis
