An Artificial Intelligence-Based Melt Flow Rate Prediction Method for Analyzing Polymer Properties

The polymer industry gained increasing importance due to the ability of polymers to replace traditional materials such as wood, glass, and metals in various applications, offering advantages such as high strength-to-weight ratio, corrosion resistance, and ease of fabrication. Among key performance indicators, melt flow rate (MFR) plays a crucial role in determining polymer quality and processability. However, conventional offline laboratory methods for measuring MFR are time-consuming and unsuitable for real-time quality control in industrial settings. To address this challenge, the study proposes a leveraging artificial intelligence with machine learning-based melt flow rate prediction for polymer properties analysis (LAIML-MFRPPPA) model. A dataset of 1044 polymer samples was used, incorporating six input features such as reactor temperature, pressure, hydrogen-to-propylene ratio, and catalyst feed rate, with MFR as the target variable. The input features were normalized using min-max scaling. Two ensemble models-kernel extreme learning machine (KELM) and random vector functional link (RVFL)-were developed and optimized using the pelican optimization algorithm (POA) for improved predictive accuracy. The proposed method outperformed traditional and deep learning models, achieving an R² of 0.965, MAE of 0.09, RMSE of 0.12, and MAPE of 3.4%. A SHAP-based sensitivity analysis was conducted to interpret the influence of input features, confirming the dominance of melt temperature and molecular weight. Overall, the LAIML-MFRPPPA model offers a robust, accurate, and deployable solution for real-time polymer quality monitoring in manufacturing environments.