EoML-SlideNet: A Lightweight Framework for Landslide Displacement Forecasting with Multi-Source Monitoring Data

The karst terrain of Guangxi, China, characterized by steep slopes and thin residual soils, is highly vulnerable to rainfall-induced shallow landslides. Timely and accurate displacement forecasting is critical for early warning and risk mitigation. However, most existing systems depend on centralized computation, leading to latency and reduced responsiveness. Moreover, conventional forecasting models are often too computationally intensive for edge devices with limited processing resources. To address these constraints, we present EoML-SlideNet, a lightweight forecasting framework designed for resource-limited hardware. It decomposes displacement and triggers into trend and periodic components, then applies the Dual-Band Lasso-Enhanced Latent Variable (DBLE-LV) module to select compact, interpretable features via cross-correlation, LASSO, and VIF screening. A small autoregressive model predicts the trend, while a lightweight neural network captures periodic fluctuations. Their outputs are combined to estimate displacement. All models were evaluated on a single CPU-only workstation to ensure fair comparison. This study introduces floating-point operations (FLOPs), alongside runtime, as practical evaluation metrics for landslide displacement prediction models. A site-specific multi-sensor dataset was developed to monitor rainfall-triggered landslide behavior in the karst terrain of Guangxi. The experimental results show that EoML-SlideNet achieves 2-4 times lower MAE/RMSE than the most accurate deep learning and the lightest baseline models, while offering 3-30 times faster inference. These results demonstrate that low-complexity models can match or surpass the accuracy of deep networks while achieving latency and FLOP levels suitable for edge deployment without dependence on remote servers.