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Path Loss Prediction Model of 5G Signal Based on Fusing Data and XGBoost-SHAP Method.
Tingting Xu1,2, Nuo Xu1, Jay Gao3
1School of Computer Science and Technology, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, China.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|September 13, 2025
Summary
Accurate 5G path loss prediction is crucial for network planning. This study uses smartphone data and advanced models to improve 5G signal prediction accuracy in complex terrains.
Area of Science:
- Telecommunications Engineering
- Wireless Communication Systems
- Signal Propagation Modeling
Background:
- Accurate path loss prediction is vital for optimizing wireless networks, especially 5G, which faces challenges from complex terrains and urban environments.
- Traditional models struggle with the nonlinearities and uncertainties of 5G signal propagation in areas with varied terrain and dense high-rise buildings.
- Existing methods often lack the precision needed for effective network planning and user experience enhancement in challenging environments.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop innovative feature engineering and prediction models for accurate 5G signal path loss modeling in complex terrains.
- To overcome the limitations of traditional linear models in predicting 5G signal characteristics, particularly in mountainous regions.
- To enhance the accuracy and stability of 5G signal path loss predictions for improved wireless network planning.
Main Methods:
- Utilized smartphones as receivers to capture multimodal data, including 3D structures and obstructions, for 5G signal analysis in N1 and N78 bands.
- Implemented the XGBoost algorithm with Optuna for hyperparameter tuning to optimize prediction model performance.
- Employed SHAP values for interpreting the model's results and understanding the influence of environmental features on signal path loss.
Main Results:
- Achieved a breakthrough in 5G signal path loss prediction with a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.76 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 3.81 dBm.
- Demonstrated the effectiveness of the multimodal system and XGBoost model in handling complex environmental factors affecting signal propagation.
- Identified key environmental features impacting 5G signal path loss through SHAP value analysis.
Conclusions:
- The developed model significantly enhances the accuracy and stability of 5G signal path loss predictions in complex environments.
- This research provides a robust technical framework and theoretical foundation for optimizing wireless communication networks.
- The findings support improved planning and deployment strategies for future wireless communication systems in challenging terrains.
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