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A female overactive bladder risk model developed by machine learning: based on 2007-2018 NHANES data.

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|September 15, 2025
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Summary

Machine learning models can predict overactive bladder (OAB) risk in women. The random forest model showed strong performance, identifying hypertension, diabetes, and sleep disorders as key factors for improved OAB diagnosis.

Keywords:
Machine learning (ML)National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES)overactive bladder (OAB)risk model

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Area of Science:

  • Urology
  • Medical Informatics
  • Machine Learning

Background:

  • Overactive bladder (OAB) significantly impacts daily life, with current risk estimation relying heavily on subjective patient symptoms.
  • There is a critical need for objective diagnostic tools and risk prediction models for OAB.
  • Developing novel risk assessment strategies is essential for timely and accurate OAB diagnosis.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate machine learning (ML) models for assessing overactive bladder (OAB) risk in the female population.
  • To identify key contributing factors to OAB risk using data-driven approaches.
  • To enhance the diagnostic capabilities for OAB in women.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from 10,807 female participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2007-2018.
  • Trained and compared seven ML algorithms, including Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting, Decision Tree (DT), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost).
  • Developed models using ten characteristic factors to predict OAB risk.

Main Results:

  • The Random Forest (RF) model achieved the highest performance, with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.879.
  • Hypertension was identified as the most significant factor influencing OAB risk.
  • Diabetes and sleep disorders were also found to be important contributing factors to OAB risk.

Conclusions:

  • Machine learning models demonstrate strong diagnostic performance and interpretability for predicting female overactive bladder (OAB) risk.
  • The developed ML-based risk model offers a valuable tool for improving OAB diagnosis in women.
  • This approach provides a more objective method for OAB risk assessment compared to symptom-based evaluations.