Water injustice in Colombia: Perceptions and realities of water quality examined through advanced machine learning

Access to safe drinking water is essential for public health. In Colombia, Resolution 2115 of 2007 mandates the use of the Water Quality Risk Index for Human Consumption (IRCA) to classify risk levels. However, a significant gap exists between objective IRCA measurements and public perception, which unfolds in the context of water injustice. This study examines the factors influencing perceptions of water quality in regions with high levels of water contamination. Based on a sample of 37,028 household heads from the 2022 Quality of Life Survey by DANE, the study applied advanced machine learning techniques, including logistic regressions with Lasso regularization and double machine learning, combining random forests and logit models. The analysis included sociodemographic factors, environmental awareness, and the environmental conditions experienced by respondents. Findings confirm the presence of water injustice in Colombia, highlighting a significant disconnect between IRCA scores and public perceptions. Additionally, perceptions of water quality are strongly influenced by visible environmental problems, such as air pollution, bad odors, and litter, suggesting that people tend to focus on more evident issues while overlooking water contamination. The results of this study highlight the need to implement policies that inform Colombians about the quality of the water they consume, in order to promote greater environmental commitment.