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Prevention or relief? Voters' support for disaster policies
H Hana Kim1, James Cragun1, Peter DeScioli1
1Department of Political Science, Stony Brook University, United States.
Disasters
|September 19, 2025
Summary
Voters do not inherently favor disaster relief over prevention. Public support for disaster policies depends on citizen cooperation, with prevention favored when citizens are uncooperative.
Area of Science:
- Political Science
- Disaster Management
- Public Policy
Background:
- Disaster prevention is often more efficient than relief.
- Previous research suggests voters reward politicians more for relief policies than prevention.
- It remains unclear if this preference stems from genuine favorability or greater awareness of relief efforts.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate public support for disaster relief versus prevention policies.
- To examine the influence of citizen cooperation on policy preferences.
- To challenge the assumption that voters inherently prefer disaster relief.
Main Methods:
- An experiment was conducted with American participants.
- Participants rated their support for a fictional disaster policy (flood threat).
- Key variables manipulated included policy type (relief vs. prevention) and citizen cooperativeness (cooperative vs. uncooperative).
Main Results:
- Participants did not show a greater preference for relief over prevention policies.
- Prevention policies were favored when citizens were depicted as uncooperative.
- Support for relief policies was lower for uncooperative citizens compared to cooperative ones.
- Citizen cooperativeness did not significantly impact support for prevention policies.
Conclusions:
- Public perception of disaster policies is nuanced and context-dependent.
- Citizen behavior, specifically cooperation with government initiatives, significantly influences support for disaster relief and prevention.
- The findings suggest that voters' preferences may be more complex than previously assumed, shifting based on perceived citizen responsibility.
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